Mer

Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District went blue! Very good sign for how things are looking in the midwest (specifically MI, WI, and PA). No republican candidate has won the presidency but lost Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District. Trump won the 2nd by 2 points in 2016.

i think he has a path without PA and GA, thru Nevada (240), Wisconsin (250), Michigan (266), and Maine (270).

FOX called for Biden, other outlets are more hesitant.

Georgia flipped blue in NY Times Needle. @Elle thank you queen.

Minnesota and Arizona have been called for Biden. He now has 234, outperforming Clinton's final EC tally in 2016. Let's keep the momentum going.

Joe Biden's best case scenario by 6AM ET Trumps best case scenario by 6AM ET

ballot counting machines running slower than expected in Wisconsin. They haven't even began the processing of 3 million early and vote in ballots (which outnumber GOP 13:1 for Dems).

its waiting for arizona result

come on America. Joey just needs 65 more

arizona looking really good for Biden.

it’s crazy how back in 2016 when HRC lost Fl, NC, Oh, and Ga; everyone was like “pshhhh she’s still got it in the bag”. but biden loses just one and we all start doomsdaying. let’s keep level heads guys.

add 55 to biden bc cali

Georgia ain't looking too good either. Looks like its gonna be a long night and a long week. Hate to be a downer. Gonna go distract myself for a while lol

demographic projections from precincts that have retuned 100% of the vote are run through statistical models and applied throughout all precincts state wide. Its how we know Trump has a >95% chance of currently winning Florida.

look at the Miami-Dade numbers. Trump up 120K votes from 2016 and up 11+ in the latino vote. Biden's biggest chance was running up his lead in Miami and the opposite happened.

okay PA, we've pretty much lost Florida--so its ur time to shine

we've lost florida. Trump is up 100k+ votes from 2016 in Miami-Dade.

NY Times is predicting a Florida Trump win based off changing demographics in precincts were all votes have been reported (Trump +11 with latinos).

ahhh i wish but i know it means nothing. trump is currently leading in Virginia. who knows were georgia will be

yes only 22% is reporting right now, and mostly mail-ins first (so a Biden lead rn)

florida is beginning to report

erie county will tell us which way the state is headed regardless of wether the rest of the vote is in or not, i think. It broke to Obama by huge margins in '08, '12; but went red in '16 by 2 points.

he's almost exclusively based off of 538; which has its own special weighting system of which polls are more accurate. They got it super right in 2018, but they gave Clinton a 60% chance on election day.