2018 Oscar Nominations - Predictions/Snubs, etc.

[BluVelvUnderground 1,754]

As some of y'all know, film is the love of my life, so I live for this. The nominations will be announced tomorrow morning, so I wanted to lock in my predictions for them.    Such an exciting, unpredictable year for a change, which is nice. 

 

BEST PICTURE *there could be anywhere from 5-10 nominees here, so I'm ranking them based on likelihood*

01. Three Billboards
02. The Shape of Water
03. Get Out
04. Lady Bird
05. Dunkirk
06. Call Me by Your Name
07. The Post
08. Phantom Thread
09. I, Tonya
10. The Big Sick

BEST DIRECTOR
Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water
Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards
Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
Jordan Peele - Get Out

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Call Me by Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Logan
Molly’s Game
Mudbound

BEST ACTOR
Timothée Chalamet - Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis - Phantom Thread
James Franco - The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out
Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour

BEST ACTRESS
Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand - Three Billboards
Margot Robbie - I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
Meryl Streep - The Post

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer - All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards
Michael Stuhlbarg - Call Me by Your Name

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Hong Chau - Downsizing
Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Lesley Manville - Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer - The Shape of Water

BEST FILM EDITING
Baby Driver
Dunkirk
Get Out
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Blade Runner 2049
Call Me by Your Name
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Beauty and the Beast
I, Tonya
Murder on the Orient Express
Phantom Thread
The Post

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Darkest Hour
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Wonder

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes

BEST SOUND EDITING
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

BEST SOUND MIXING
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Wonder Woman

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Evermore”, Beauty and the Beast
“Mighty River”, Mudbound
“Remember Me”, Coco
“This is Me”, The Greatest Showman
“Mystery of Love”, Call Me by Your Name

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Breadwinner
Coco
Ferdinand
Loving Vincent
Mary and the Witch’s Flower

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
City of Ghosts
Faces Places
Icarus
Jane
Strong Island

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
A Fantastic Woman
Foxtrot
The Insult
In the Fade
Loveless

[latothemoon 11,846]

This year's Oscars are tricky cause there's really no movie I think will be sweeping the awards or will be an obvious winner for Best Picture, like last year with La La Land (even tho it didn't win Best Picture most expected it to but it still sweept the floor). Anways here are my predictions, keep in mind I haven't seen all listed.
 
Best Picture:
 
Most likely:
- The Shape of Water
- Get Out
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
- Call Me by Your Name
- Lady Bird
- Dunkirk
 
Possible:
- Phantom Thread
- The Post
- Mudbound
- Darkest Hour
- The Disaster Artist
- I, Tonya
- The Florida Project
 
Far shot:
- The Big Sick
- Wonder Woman
- Baby Driver
 
Who will win:
- Three Billboards or The Shape of Water
Personal favorites:
- The Florida Project, Call Me by Your Name, I, Tonya
 
Best Actress
 
Most likely:
- Frances McDormand for Three Billboards
- Margot Robbie for I, Tonya
- Saoirse Ronan for Lady Bird
- Sally Hawkins for The Shape of Water
- Meryl Streep for The Post
 
Possible:
- Jessica Chastain for Molly's Game
- Emma Stone for Battle of the Sexes
- Kate Winslet for Wonder Wheel
 
Who will win:
- Frances McDormand or Saoirse Ronan
Personal favorite performances:
- Margot Robbie and Frances McDormand
 
Best Actor
 
Most likely:
- Gary Oldman for The Darkest Hour
- Timothée Chalamet for Call Me by Your Name
- Daniel Day-Lewis for Phantom Thread
- Tom Hanks for The Post
- Daniel Kaluuya for Get Out
 
Possible:
- James Franco for The Disaster Artist
- Denzel Washington for Roman J. Israel, Esq.
- Jake Gyllenhaal for Stronger
 
Will win:
- Gary Oldman or Timothée Chalamet
Personal favorite performances:
- Timothée Chalamet and Jake Gyllenhaal
 
 
As for Best Supporting Actress and Best Supporting Actor, if Allison Janney and Willem Dafoe don't win I'm rioting!

[BluVelvUnderground 1,754]

This year's Oscars are tricky cause there's really no movie I think will be sweeping the awards or will be an obvious winner for Best Picture, like last year with La La Land (even tho it didn't win Best Picture most expected it to and it still sweept the floor). Anways here are my predictions, keep in mind I haven't seen all listed.

 

Best Picture:

 

Most likely:

- The Shape of Water

- Get Out

- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

- Call Me by Your Name

- Lady Bird

- Dunkirk

 

Possible:

- Phantom Thread

- The Post

- Mudbound

- Darkest Hour

- The Disaster Artist

- I, Tonya

- The Florida Project

 

Far shot:

- The Big Sick

- Wonder Woman

- Baby Driver

 

Who will win:

- Three Billboards or The Shape of Water

Personal favorites:

- The Florida Project, Call Me by Your Name, I, Tonya

 

Best Actress

 

Most likely:

- Frances McDormand for Three Billboards

- Margot Robbie for I, Tonya

- Saoirse Ronan for Lady Bird

- Sally Hawkins for The Shape of Water

- Meryl Streep for The Post

 

Possible:

- Jessica Chastain for Molly's Game

- Emma Stone for Battle of the Sexes

- Kate Winslet for Wonder Wheel

 

Who will win:

- Frances McDormand or Saoirse Ronan

Personal favorite performances:

- Margot Robbie and Frances McDormand

 

Best Actor

 

Most likely:

- Gary Oldman for The Darkest Hour

- Timothée Chalamet for Call Me by Your Name

- Daniel Day-Lewis for Phantom Thread

- Tom Hanks for The Post

- Daniel Kaluuya for Get Out

 

Possible:

- James Franco for The Disaster Artist

- Denzel Washington for Roman J. Israel, Esq.

- Jake Gyllenhaal for Stronger

 

Will win:

- Gary Oldman or Timothée Chalamet

Personal favorite performances:

- Timothée Chalamet and Jake Gyllenhaal

 

 

As for Best Supporting Actress and Best Supporting Actor, if Allison Janney and Willem Dafoe don't win I'm rioting!

 

These predictions are solid af, though. I also sense a Franco shutout with the recent media attention he got. He had it right during the voting week, so many probably left him off their ballots. 

 

I'm rooting for Dafoe, but Rockwell won the Golden Globe and SAG, not to mention was nominated by BAFTA and won about 10+ critics awards over him. I'd like to think Dafoe can surprise, but with Three Billboards being so likely for the Picture and Actress wins, something tells me he's going to happen, unfortunately. 

[expandableclitoris 9,093]

highly doubt Call Me and Get Out are getting major awards

[latothemoon 11,846]

Honestly Margot Robbie in I, Tonya was probably my favorite lead performance I saw from 2017. She showed quite a range and really just nailed it. Her performance was way more powerful than Saoirse Ronan in Lady Bird and I was disappointed in the Golden Globes choice. I'm expecting Frances McDormand to win but MARGOT DESERVED BETTER

[BluVelvUnderground 1,754]

highly doubt Call Me and Get Out are getting major awards

 

Come back to me tomorrow morning. 

[LAman 3,224]

Lana better not get snubbed again

[BluVelvUnderground 1,754]

Lana better not get snubbed again

 

She's not eligible for anything this year. 

 

But you're right. They should apologize and give her a late-win for "Young and Beautiful", I agree. 

[latothemoon 11,846]

highly doubt Call Me and Get Out are getting major awards

 

I'm expecting both to get nominations including a Best Picture nomination. They were two of the most well received films of the year and lots of experts have predicted them to get nominations. Call Me by Your Name practically has the Best Adapted Screenplay Award in the bag, but I don't think it will win more than that unless Chalamet shocks. I believe Get Out will get at least two nominations (possibly Best Picture, Best Original Screenplay, Best Director, or Best Actor) but won't win unless it snatches Original Screenplay.

 

Just you wait!

[graham4anything 2,859]

I think the opinions above are probably correct, think there won't be many surprises this year

 

I do think James will be nominated as most people already voted and imho it's one of the best, but wonder if they will get

Christopher Plummer to erase all his votes and Tom Hanks will get in (I think Hanks is #6 )

 

I would say Oldman #1 Chalamet  #2 JF #3 Lewis #4 Daniel K #5 if there is an accurate popular vote count.

But Oldman is going to win as will and the only question is supporting actress

 

Personally thought Lady Bird is the best movie and Greta should win director (but she won't)

 

How many millions did Moonlight lose last year because they were robbed of the announcement and how many people went to bed

not even knowing it won?

Wonder if there was more than just a "star struck" accountant announcing it for La La instead of Moonlight (which deserved the award.

(wouldn't surprise me if someone like a HW would attempt to sabotage the awards (and also embarrass Warren, who knew something was wrong)

 

It would be fun if Get Out won. (but it won't)

 

Last year Denzel should have won for Fences. (he was robbed and Casey did not deserve it (and in retrospect, if last year were this year, he wouldn't have won).

 

If there were any justice this year, Sam Elliott would be nominated for The Hero.

 

 

 

 

[latothemoon 11,846]

I really hope Allison Janney wins Best Supporting Actress. Margot Robbie and Janney both really blew me away in I, Tonya and that movie was incredibly entertaining, my favorite of the year that I saw along with The Florida Project and Call Me by Your Name. It's very unlikely that both ladies will win the actress categories, but I think Janney will (and should) win because her and Laurie Metcalf are the top contenders.

 

Was I the only one completely underwhelmed by Lady Bird? I mean I enjoyed it but I was expecting much more from the hype and the plot wasn't very original. It was just good, not incredible and didn't leave me emotional.

[AKASAKA SAWAYAMA 7,885]

jennifer lawrance should have nominated for best actress with mother!

[BluVelvUnderground 1,754]

jennifer lawrance should have nominated for best actress with mother!

 

She actually got nominated for the Razzie, which is a disgrace, because no matter what you think of the film itself, that was a tour-de-force for her. And I agree, she should be a lock for a nomination this year. Stunning that she gets so many nominations, and misses for her best work yet. 

[latothemoon 11,846]

Well the nominations are out! Thoughts?

 

There honestly wasn't any shocking snubs or surprises, it looks like The Shape of Water is in lock for Best Picture though.

 

I think the winners will be pretty much as expected, there won't be any huge upsets.

 

Biggest Oscars upset of all time: Crash winning Best Picture over Brokeback Mountain (MESS) the Academy even admitted to regretting that

[t-raider26 912]

I really thought Jennifer Garner would get a surprise nom for the Tribes of Palos Verdes. If only the movie got more publicity. It’s about time people remember that she can actually act lol

[graham4anything 2,859]

​Would love to see Denzel win Best Actor and happy he was the 5th nominee and not Hanks

Not quite sure why Oldman is getting a pass considering ALL of his wives (and probably girlfriends) have spoken up about abuse against them from him

 

​I do think Shape will win Movie/Director (unless Get Out comes out of nowhere to win all 3 Jordan is nominated for)

 

​and Mary J Blige is a double nominee

 

 

 

 

[Flowerbomb 65,594]

Bill Skarsgård got snubbed. That's all I have to say.

[Terrence Loves Me 72,799]

snooze

[loleetah 4,084]

jennifer lawrance should have nominated for best actress with mother!

 

Honestly this is true, I know mother! was polarizing but wow she really did THAT. I didn't think much of her as an actress before that her performance wowed me

[Doll Harlow 12,367]

She actually got nominated for the Razzie, which is a disgrace, because no matter what you think of the film itself, that was a tour-de-force for her. And I agree, she should be a lock for a nomination this year. Stunning that she gets so many nominations, and misses for her best work yet. 

 

A Razzie? Are you serious? lmao The fact that so many people are trashing that movie makes me sad. I know it's not for everyone, but it really doesn't deserve all this backlash. But I think the director Aronofsky says he encourages debate and discussion and doesn't mind the hate so oh well i guess lmao. But J Law did an amazing job.