Mer

Joe Biden's best case scenario by 6AM ET Trumps best case scenario by 6AM ET

ballot counting machines running slower than expected in Wisconsin. They haven't even began the processing of 3 million early and vote in ballots (which outnumber GOP 13:1 for Dems).

its waiting for arizona result

come on America. Joey just needs 65 more

arizona looking really good for Biden.

it’s crazy how back in 2016 when HRC lost Fl, NC, Oh, and Ga; everyone was like “pshhhh she’s still got it in the bag”. but biden loses just one and we all start doomsdaying. let’s keep level heads guys.

add 55 to biden bc cali

Georgia ain't looking too good either. Looks like its gonna be a long night and a long week. Hate to be a downer. Gonna go distract myself for a while lol

demographic projections from precincts that have retuned 100% of the vote are run through statistical models and applied throughout all precincts state wide. Its how we know Trump has a >95% chance of currently winning Florida.

look at the Miami-Dade numbers. Trump up 120K votes from 2016 and up 11+ in the latino vote. Biden's biggest chance was running up his lead in Miami and the opposite happened.

okay PA, we've pretty much lost Florida--so its ur time to shine

we've lost florida. Trump is up 100k+ votes from 2016 in Miami-Dade.

NY Times is predicting a Florida Trump win based off changing demographics in precincts were all votes have been reported (Trump +11 with latinos).

ahhh i wish but i know it means nothing. trump is currently leading in Virginia. who knows were georgia will be

yes only 22% is reporting right now, and mostly mail-ins first (so a Biden lead rn)

florida is beginning to report

erie county will tell us which way the state is headed regardless of wether the rest of the vote is in or not, i think. It broke to Obama by huge margins in '08, '12; but went red in '16 by 2 points.

he's almost exclusively based off of 538; which has its own special weighting system of which polls are more accurate. They got it super right in 2018, but they gave Clinton a 60% chance on election day.

technically if (and i'm not saying theres a chance) but IF Biden somehow manages to win NC, FL, and GA all tonight; he can be declared shortly after midnight ET--even if the rust belt states have not reported a final count. A Biden sweep in the sunbelt, which i think is a possibility but not a guarantee or even likelihood, is the only chance we have of knowing the winner tonight.

that was a property tax case. RBG upheld that the land belonged to the tribe, but it was not exempt from property taxes. yes thank you. Trump still has at least 3 paths to victory (including a tie). Biden has 6. No one thinks that means 100% Biden win. But may the odds be ever in our favour

i don’t think he’s confident. he’s reportedly been telling aides he’s worried he’s going to jail if he loses lol.

ya Trump has this in the bag. Obviously a man who yells about cheating before the race has even begun is clearly very confident of his position

i think so too i’m too superstitious to make those statements rip. can’t wait to see trump try and announce pre-mature victory tonight only for all the cameras to shut off on him (even fox has pledged to shut him down).