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Mer

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  1. TRENCH liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    Open if you have election Anxiety (Masterpost) 
     
     
  2. drugsdesire liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates   
    why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
  3. xxmissdaytonaxx liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates   
    why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
  4. pawnshop liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates   
    why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
  5. NikoGo liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates   
    why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
  6. Mer liked a post in a topic by 99centlips in Instagram Updates   
    she has nerve 
  7. JamiDelRey liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    he won by 2 votes each in a handful of precincts in 3 states. vote. 
  8. Mer liked a post in a topic by Formation in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    I've always understood that all votes aren't counted til a while later + plus the December EC stuff, but I've never got the post day projection / exit-poll stuff. Thank you for enlightening me a bit on this!
  9. JamiDelRey liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    well, tbh no votes are really counted on election day. projections are made off of samples of votes and statical models. in some states, they begin processing mail-in-ballots before in-person votes (AZ, CO, FL, NC), so they report those first. In other states like PA, urban centers are counted first and then rural (so it looks Blue-er than it ends up being). 
    On election night, samples of votes from precincts are released, run through statistical models, and then a “projection” is made. Votes are then certified in early December, before the EC meets and casts their votes.  
    hope that answers your question, and didn’t confuse you!
     
     
    it’s a statistical model based off of 40,000 simulations of the election. 
     
    its basically like saying “okay if you play Russian Roullette 100 times, you only die in 10 scenarios”. Not really the most reassuring model but hey, it’s scientifically accurate. 
  10. Escapism liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    he won by 2 votes each in a handful of precincts in 3 states. vote. 
  11. alienprincess liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    well, tbh no votes are really counted on election day. projections are made off of samples of votes and statical models. in some states, they begin processing mail-in-ballots before in-person votes (AZ, CO, FL, NC), so they report those first. In other states like PA, urban centers are counted first and then rural (so it looks Blue-er than it ends up being). 
    On election night, samples of votes from precincts are released, run through statistical models, and then a “projection” is made. Votes are then certified in early December, before the EC meets and casts their votes.  
    hope that answers your question, and didn’t confuse you!
     
     
    it’s a statistical model based off of 40,000 simulations of the election. 
     
    its basically like saying “okay if you play Russian Roullette 100 times, you only die in 10 scenarios”. Not really the most reassuring model but hey, it’s scientifically accurate. 
  12. past the bushes liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    he won by 2 votes each in a handful of precincts in 3 states. vote. 
  13. knives liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    he won by 2 votes each in a handful of precincts in 3 states. vote. 
  14. knives liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    well, tbh no votes are really counted on election day. projections are made off of samples of votes and statical models. in some states, they begin processing mail-in-ballots before in-person votes (AZ, CO, FL, NC), so they report those first. In other states like PA, urban centers are counted first and then rural (so it looks Blue-er than it ends up being). 
    On election night, samples of votes from precincts are released, run through statistical models, and then a “projection” is made. Votes are then certified in early December, before the EC meets and casts their votes.  
    hope that answers your question, and didn’t confuse you!
     
     
    it’s a statistical model based off of 40,000 simulations of the election. 
     
    its basically like saying “okay if you play Russian Roullette 100 times, you only die in 10 scenarios”. Not really the most reassuring model but hey, it’s scientifically accurate. 
  15. Venice liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    well, tbh no votes are really counted on election day. projections are made off of samples of votes and statical models. in some states, they begin processing mail-in-ballots before in-person votes (AZ, CO, FL, NC), so they report those first. In other states like PA, urban centers are counted first and then rural (so it looks Blue-er than it ends up being). 
    On election night, samples of votes from precincts are released, run through statistical models, and then a “projection” is made. Votes are then certified in early December, before the EC meets and casts their votes.  
    hope that answers your question, and didn’t confuse you!
     
     
    it’s a statistical model based off of 40,000 simulations of the election. 
     
    its basically like saying “okay if you play Russian Roullette 100 times, you only die in 10 scenarios”. Not really the most reassuring model but hey, it’s scientifically accurate. 
  16. Mer liked a post in a topic by past the bushes in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    Yes there is, vote 
  17. alienprincess liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    also, in regards to polls: Clinton barely broke 50% in the polls in any swing states. Biden has broken 50 by a good margin. This is important, as it signifies that in 2016 there were much more last minute voters than there will be in 2020. 
     
    and don’t forget: Trump won the presidency by 2 votes per precinct in MI, PA, and WI. He was never coming into 2020 with the upper hand, but things could still cut either way rn. 
     
     
  18. alienprincess liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    starting to think you weren’t joking when you said “Trump 2020”. 
  19. suicideblonde liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    also, in regards to polls: Clinton barely broke 50% in the polls in any swing states. Biden has broken 50 by a good margin. This is important, as it signifies that in 2016 there were much more last minute voters than there will be in 2020. 
     
    and don’t forget: Trump won the presidency by 2 votes per precinct in MI, PA, and WI. He was never coming into 2020 with the upper hand, but things could still cut either way rn. 
     
     
  20. suicideblonde liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    starting to think you weren’t joking when you said “Trump 2020”. 
  21. Mer liked a post in a topic by Surf Noir in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    some of ya'll talk about this like you want trump to win 
  22. Surf Noir liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    starting to think you weren’t joking when you said “Trump 2020”. 
  23. DCooper liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    starting to think you weren’t joking when you said “Trump 2020”. 
  24. Mer liked a post in a topic by Rust Dress in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election   
    not the trump supporters.. never this never that
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