Mer

starting to think you weren’t joking when you said “Trump 2020”. 

not the trump supporters.. never this never that

also, in regards to polls: Clinton barely broke 50% in the polls in any swing states. Biden has broken 50 by a good margin. This is important, as it signifies that in 2016 there were much more last minute voters than there will be in 2020. 
 
and don’t forget: Trump won the presidency by 2 votes per precinct in MI, PA, and WI. He was never coming into 2020 with the upper hand, but things could still cut either way rn. 
 
 

starting to think you weren’t joking when you said “Trump 2020”. 

ding ding ding, no matter how many liberals from the New England/New York and Chicago area have moved to Florida the old white boomers rule the elections, thats why we get stuck with people such as Lazy Marco Rubio or skeleton Rick Scott 
-----
 
 
also Biden has been breaking a lot of poll records, the double that Hillary got in 2016. yes the race is close but the chances of Biden winning are more realistic than those of Hillary...now that was true delusion 

starting to think you weren’t joking when you said “Trump 2020”. 

eh a 40% chance, and eve 10%, is still too high for my liking. 
 
keep an eye on Maine’s 2nd District, if Trump wins it it means his base is pulling through for him. 

actually no, no one needs black and latino voters to win. Trump won without them in 2016. The Midwest and Florida retirees will choose this election (aka white boomers).
also the fact is: Trump has gained in those communities, but Biden still holds a lead. Trump has also lost middle-aged white voters and suburban women in the midwest. 
Trump really can only hope for foreign interference/election day riots and fuckery to win. 

Biden is 10 pts ahead and the polls have been adjusted to be far more accurate then 2016. Even the top analysts who said Hillary could lose in 2016  are saying Biden has it.  It’s not a certainty but it would take something much more extraordinary then in 2016 for Trump to win. He knows he is going to lose and this is why he’s hoping the supreme court will hand him the election.

You keep putting this out there when there’s nothing to back that though ? like it’s a close race and nobody knows yet 

dont get my hopes up like this
 
honestly, even if biden wins i doubt trump will leave office willingly like the good ol fascist he is 

https://fivethirtyeight.com/videos/what-are-the-chances-well-know-the-next-president-on-election-night/
 
Nate Silver breaks it down pretty good. based on 40,000 election night simulations: there’s a 10% chance Trump wins on election night, 30% biden wins (but less than 300EC), and 60% biden wins (with more than 300EC). he says in the former 2 scenarios, we won’t know the result on election night (too close to call). So all-in-all 40% chance we won’t know winner by 3amEST Nov. 4th.

I respectfully disagree with many of your points. While I think our current political climate has lead to the formation of mob mentality, it is only evident on the internet. You mention that your friend will “unfriend/unfollow” people who don’t vote for Biden—this means nothing in the real world. To be a fully functioning member of society, she will still need to collaborate with Trump-voters in her everyday personal and professional life; she simply has no choice. The illusion of control over our social circles garnered by the internet is just that, an illusion. The cases of actual full-fledged “boycotting” (both personally and professionally) due to voting preferences is remarkably low, especially in as divisive times as these. 
 
I’m curious what you define as “oppression”. The crime rate has steadily declined since 1990, the 3rd US has the highest quality of education in the world, lowest infant mortality rate, and 5th highest literacy rate (99% of people over the age of 15). More so, Biden’s plans will not depress these facts (he will not oppress the growth we have been seeing for the past 30 years). He plans on making community college debt-free—a crucial step towards equal access to education—the staggered introduction of medicare for all, and a 2 trillion dollar climate change proposal. I fail to see how any of these things are oppressive. 
 
On the issue of criminal justice, Biden/Harris plan to ban for-profit-prison, and an independent Task Force on Prosecutorial Discretion, expanding the power of the Justice Department to investigate police behavior, decriminalizing marijuana, investing in the offices of public defenders, offering alternatives to detention, and more. He also supports the elimination of mandatory minimum sentencing. 
 
I concede, their records may not be stellar, but, if we were to go by what politicians said and did in the past; Trump would be pro-choice, Graham would’ve voted against Barrett, and Clinton would be behind bars. I believe people can change, for both good and bad. I think we owe to an individual to trust in their personal growth. 
 
As for Simone Weil’s, her writings almost exclusively apply to 1930s-40s France, as she concedes early in her essay that political parties work well (or, at least, better) in the UK. Also, parties provide something like a legitimate opposition. Without this “regulated rivalry” there can be no democratic accountability. Parties structure political choices for an electorate in a way that Weil’s intellectual magazines never could—and in a way that the internet cannot today. Weil’s died at 34, mainly because she failed to see what was going on in the real world: Despite being physically frail she toiled at a Renault assembly line in order to share the fate of the workers (although she was eventually fired, as she could not keep up); she lived in unheated flats and gave her money to the poor; and she volunteered on the side of the soldiers fighting Franco’s fascists in Spain (but had to be evacuated after stepping in a pot of boiling oil). During the second World War she worked for Gen de Gaulle’s Free French in London. But she also starved herself, refusing to eat more than what she (wrongly) thought to be the ration of her compatriots in Nazi-occupied France (per the Irish Times). 
 
Political parties are not perfect, but without them, there would be no accountability within democracy. I won’t tell someone which way to vote—though, should the person be willing, I would love to hear why they chose to vote a certain way. Our civic duty is simply to vote. Our duty as citizens is not, and never has been, to “undermine” the systems that largely keep us safe, no matter wether you believe they do their job properly. Anarchy is not a civic duty. 

https://fivethirtyeight.com/videos/what-are-the-chances-well-know-the-next-president-on-election-night/
 
Nate Silver breaks it down pretty good. based on 40,000 election night simulations: there’s a 10% chance Trump wins on election night, 30% biden wins (but less than 300EC), and 60% biden wins (with more than 300EC). he says in the former 2 scenarios, we won’t know the result on election night (too close to call). So all-in-all 40% chance we won’t know winner by 3amEST Nov. 4th.

ya 

1 is the lie?
 
1) My girlfriend is Spanish and she is 4 years older than me.
2) I was once married.
3) I have two university degrees, but currently I would not like to pursue any of these careers.

Texas would already be blue if it weren't THE state of gerrymandering (don't get me wrong it's huge in all battleground states, S/O to my homestate of Wisconsin) but Texas is literally only red because of it.

3 is the lie. 
 
1. I was a linebacker in high school, but i sat by senior year out because i tore my ACL.
2. i speak 4 languages (although I can't write all of them). 
3. i've visited every continent except for Antarctica. 

I respectfully disagree with many of your points. While I think our current political climate has lead to the formation of mob mentality, it is only evident on the internet. You mention that your friend will “unfriend/unfollow” people who don’t vote for Biden—this means nothing in the real world. To be a fully functioning member of society, she will still need to collaborate with Trump-voters in her everyday personal and professional life; she simply has no choice. The illusion of control over our social circles garnered by the internet is just that, an illusion. The cases of actual full-fledged “boycotting” (both personally and professionally) due to voting preferences is remarkably low, especially in as divisive times as these. 
 
I’m curious what you define as “oppression”. The crime rate has steadily declined since 1990, the 3rd US has the highest quality of education in the world, lowest infant mortality rate, and 5th highest literacy rate (99% of people over the age of 15). More so, Biden’s plans will not depress these facts (he will not oppress the growth we have been seeing for the past 30 years). He plans on making community college debt-free—a crucial step towards equal access to education—the staggered introduction of medicare for all, and a 2 trillion dollar climate change proposal. I fail to see how any of these things are oppressive. 
 
On the issue of criminal justice, Biden/Harris plan to ban for-profit-prison, and an independent Task Force on Prosecutorial Discretion, expanding the power of the Justice Department to investigate police behavior, decriminalizing marijuana, investing in the offices of public defenders, offering alternatives to detention, and more. He also supports the elimination of mandatory minimum sentencing. 
 
I concede, their records may not be stellar, but, if we were to go by what politicians said and did in the past; Trump would be pro-choice, Graham would’ve voted against Barrett, and Clinton would be behind bars. I believe people can change, for both good and bad. I think we owe to an individual to trust in their personal growth. 
 
As for Simone Weil’s, her writings almost exclusively apply to 1930s-40s France, as she concedes early in her essay that political parties work well (or, at least, better) in the UK. Also, parties provide something like a legitimate opposition. Without this “regulated rivalry” there can be no democratic accountability. Parties structure political choices for an electorate in a way that Weil’s intellectual magazines never could—and in a way that the internet cannot today. Weil’s died at 34, mainly because she failed to see what was going on in the real world: Despite being physically frail she toiled at a Renault assembly line in order to share the fate of the workers (although she was eventually fired, as she could not keep up); she lived in unheated flats and gave her money to the poor; and she volunteered on the side of the soldiers fighting Franco’s fascists in Spain (but had to be evacuated after stepping in a pot of boiling oil). During the second World War she worked for Gen de Gaulle’s Free French in London. But she also starved herself, refusing to eat more than what she (wrongly) thought to be the ration of her compatriots in Nazi-occupied France (per the Irish Times). 
 
Political parties are not perfect, but without them, there would be no accountability within democracy. I won’t tell someone which way to vote—though, should the person be willing, I would love to hear why they chose to vote a certain way. Our civic duty is simply to vote. Our duty as citizens is not, and never has been, to “undermine” the systems that largely keep us safe, no matter wether you believe they do their job properly. Anarchy is not a civic duty. 

i think it will be almost solid blue by 2028/2032 

if Biden loses every single state Hillary did in 2016, but flips Texas, he still beats Trump. 
 
Also Texas is the last Republican stronghold--losing it would cause party reform, and hopefully a shift to the left. There are no paths to victory for any GOP presidential candidate if Texas, Cali, Or, Wa, Il, Ny, and Va are Democratic strongholds (6/7 already are). 

i think it will be almost solid blue by 2028/2032 

i've seen like 5 biden harris signs on my street alone in texas  only one for trump

People actively encouraging discord and post election violence on here? 

if Biden loses every single state Hillary did in 2016, but flips Texas, he still beats Trump. 
 
Also Texas is the last Republican stronghold--losing it would cause party reform, and hopefully a shift to the left. There are no paths to victory for any GOP presidential candidate if Texas, Cali, Or, Wa, Il, Ny, and Va are Democratic strongholds (6/7 already are).