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drugsdesire liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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xxmissdaytonaxx liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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pawnshop liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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NikoGo liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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ArtDecoDelRey liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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MorriganKinsley liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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Blue Ink liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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Marius liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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moonbeam monsoon liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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bel air rose liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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Vanilla Icy liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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Doll Harlow liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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Hallo Heaven liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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ParadiseFreak liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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TRENCH liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election
Open if you have election Anxiety (Masterpost)
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crazyforme liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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rightofjupiter liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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The Stargirl Pinky liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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cherri liked a post in a topic by Mer in Instagram Updates
why does the pic with the dogs look more professional than 6/8 of her most recent music videos ahhhhhhhhh
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JamiDelRey liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election
he won by 2 votes each in a handful of precincts in 3 states. vote.
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Mer liked a post in a topic by Formation in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election
I've always understood that all votes aren't counted til a while later + plus the December EC stuff, but I've never got the post day projection / exit-poll stuff. Thank you for enlightening me a bit on this!
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JamiDelRey liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election
well, tbh no votes are really counted on election day. projections are made off of samples of votes and statical models. in some states, they begin processing mail-in-ballots before in-person votes (AZ, CO, FL, NC), so they report those first. In other states like PA, urban centers are counted first and then rural (so it looks Blue-er than it ends up being).
On election night, samples of votes from precincts are released, run through statistical models, and then a “projection” is made. Votes are then certified in early December, before the EC meets and casts their votes.
hope that answers your question, and didn’t confuse you!
it’s a statistical model based off of 40,000 simulations of the election.
its basically like saying “okay if you play Russian Roullette 100 times, you only die in 10 scenarios”. Not really the most reassuring model but hey, it’s scientifically accurate.
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Escapism liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election
he won by 2 votes each in a handful of precincts in 3 states. vote.
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alienprincess liked a post in a topic by Mer in 2020 USA Democratic Presidential General Election
well, tbh no votes are really counted on election day. projections are made off of samples of votes and statical models. in some states, they begin processing mail-in-ballots before in-person votes (AZ, CO, FL, NC), so they report those first. In other states like PA, urban centers are counted first and then rural (so it looks Blue-er than it ends up being).
On election night, samples of votes from precincts are released, run through statistical models, and then a “projection” is made. Votes are then certified in early December, before the EC meets and casts their votes.
hope that answers your question, and didn’t confuse you!
it’s a statistical model based off of 40,000 simulations of the election.
its basically like saying “okay if you play Russian Roullette 100 times, you only die in 10 scenarios”. Not really the most reassuring model but hey, it’s scientifically accurate.